Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.230507 2.332287 2.437888 2.555965 2.684706 2.821272 2.977690
2025-11-30 2.067091 2.207824 2.359646 2.536758 2.739216 2.965310 3.239620
2025-12-07 1.922330 2.086073 2.268024 2.487466 2.748142 3.052191 3.440392
2025-12-14 1.783000 1.957757 2.156298 2.401950 2.702761 3.066310 3.551041
2025-12-21 1.724671 1.917054 2.140787 2.425338 2.785686 3.239195 3.875779
2025-12-28 1.676136 1.883390 2.129497 2.450477 2.869960 3.419015 4.230807
2026-01-04 1.586298 1.794195 2.044237 2.375492 2.817149 3.410206 4.318370
2026-01-11 1.540818 1.756415 2.019705 2.375199 2.861034 3.534854 4.615084
2026-01-18 1.512127 1.737430 2.016904 2.401776 2.941731 3.717477 5.027412
2026-01-25 1.467983 1.696519 1.983282 2.384057 2.957649 3.804678 5.296402
2026-02-01 1.419486 1.647846 1.936963 2.345735 2.940145 3.837743 5.475216
2026-02-08 1.352327 1.572773 1.852899 2.250863 2.833413 3.721454 5.366319
2026-02-15 1.312192 1.535293 1.822229 2.236389 2.856261 3.832039 5.737984
2026-02-22 1.279299 1.506211 1.801764 2.235618 2.900766 3.985870 6.240357
2026-03-01 1.237931 1.464361 1.762110 2.204844 2.896380 4.057007 6.595377
2026-03-08 1.187968 1.409286 1.702016 2.140758 2.834084 4.018915 6.699159
2026-03-15 1.170295 1.396834 1.700242 2.162884 2.912946 4.247871 7.517029
2026-03-22 1.153896 1.385296 1.698953 2.185281 2.994004 4.494349 8.500754
2026-03-29 1.113065 1.338849 1.646113 2.125204 2.928777 4.441189 8.608751
2026-04-05 1.093087 1.320470 1.632678 2.125657 2.968905 4.609925 9.489291
2026-04-12 1.080732 1.312129 1.633199 2.147850 3.049350 4.878415 10.899205
2026-04-19 1.058768 1.289549 1.611901 2.133602 3.061678 4.997792 11.851547
2026-04-26 1.033289 1.261259 1.581144 2.102313 3.039517 5.033810 12.488530